Investment, Exogenous Entry and Expandable Markets Under Uncertainty

Market Liberalization, Regulatory Uncertainty, and Firm Investment

Motivated by the German postal market, this paper analyzes the effects of regulatory uncertainty about labor costs for investment into a liberalized market. We distinguish between the external investment margin (market entry) and the internal investment margin (technology) and establish that regulatory uncertainty affects these margins differently, encouraging market entry but discouraging inve...

Investment Decision Making under Uncertainty: The Impact of Risk Aversion, Operational Flexibility, and Competition

Traditional real options analysis addresses investment under uncertainty assuming a risk-neutral decision maker and complete markets. In reality, however, decision makers are often risk averse and markets are incomplete. Additionally, capital projects are seldom nowor-never investments and can be abandoned, suspended, and resumed at any time. In this thesis, we develop a utility-based framework...

Managing Uncertainty in a Formal Standards-Based Industry: A Real Options Perspective on

Scholars have theorized that firms can intervene in the creation of formal technology standards to reduce uncertainty and influence the outcome to their advantage. One approach is through early acquisition: Firms can acquire targets with relevant technology prior to standardization. Using real options logic, the authors show how early acquisitions can be considered a growth option under certain...

The Effect Of Salvage Market On Strategic Technology Choice And Capacity Investment Decision Of Firm Under Demand Uncertainty

Analyzing Bullwhip Effect in Supply Networks under Exogenous Uncertainty

This paper explains a model for analyzing and measuring the propagation of order amplifications (i.e. bullwhip effect) for a single-product supply network topology considering exogenous uncertainty and linear and time-invariant inventory management policies for network entities. The stream of orders placed by each entity of the network is characterized assuming customer demand is ergodic. In fa...